Modeling Network Traffic for Planning Applications in a Small Community

A procedure is developed to model network traffic for planning applications in small and/or medium-sized communities with limited planning resources. The proposed method is based on the theories and assumptions of conventional four-step travel demand models, but the baseline trip table is estimated from existing traffic counts using path flow estimator PFE to render a quick response approach that requires less data than the conventional approach. The proposed modeling approach is suitable for short-range, small area planning applications, such as the evaluation of alternative roadway networks that does not involve significant growth in trip generation patterns. A case study is set up with data from a small community St. Helena, Calif. to demonstrate the proposed approach. An O-D trip table is estimated with PFE from traffic counts. The estimation process is shown to be feasible as the results matched observed data with a satisfactory error bound. The traffic impacts of various scenarios of land use and network changes can be effectively evaluated with the proposed modeling approach. DOI: 10.1061/ ASCE 0733-9488 2006 132:3 156 CE Database subject headings: Traffic models; Forecasting; Traffic analysis; Urban planning; Traffic engineering.